Is hardwood dying?

Is hardwood flooring dying?

Last updated · FloorIt

Quick answer

New hardwood sales are shrinking, and LVP is winning new installs. But a recoat business doesn't sell new floors: it renews the wood floors already in people's homes, which last 100 years or more (NAHB).

Here are the numbers on both sides, with their sources.

Yes, LVP is winning new sales

Share of U.S. flooring square feet sold201420192025
Carpet62%53%43%
Vinyl, mostly LVPAbout 15%24%35%
Hardwood4.3%4.9%3.7%

These are from Floor Covering News (FCNews), the industry trade paper, which counts every square foot of flooring sold in the U.S. Vinyl, which is mostly LVP (luxury vinyl plank), more than doubled its share. Most of it came from carpet. Hardwood sold 630 million square feet in 2025, the lowest since 2012.

So yes, LVP is winning new installs. Anyone who says otherwise is not looking at the numbers.

Small by the foot, big by the dollar

3.7%

Of flooring square feet sold in 2025 (FCNews)

7.5%

Of flooring dollars, about double (FCNews)

77%

Of the wood flooring sold is engineered (FCNews)

Hardwood was never big by the square foot. In FCNews's count it has been between 3.7% and 5.1% of square feet every year since 2009. It's the expensive floor, so its share of dollars is about double its share of square feet.

Another research firm, Catalina, counts it higher: 4.9% of square feet and 11.7% of dollars in 2025. The two even disagree on whether hardwood sales went up or down in 2024 and 2025. What they agree on: wood's share of square feet is below where it was in 2021, and LVP took the share.

The wood already in homes

87.8 million

Owner-occupied U.S. homes (Census, end of 2025)

About half

Of homeowners say they have wood floors (NWFA, 2017)

42 years

Age of the median owned home (NAHB, 2024 data)

48%

Of U.S. homes were built before 1980 (Census, 2024)

A recoat business doesn't work on the floors sold this year. It works on the ones already in people's homes. One year of new hardwood sales is a sliver next to all the wood that is already down.

The wood floor count comes from a 2017 survey of 1,001 homeowners for the National Wood Flooring Association (NWFA): 52% said they have wood floors. It is the only count there is, and people answered for themselves, so treat it as a ballpark. Nobody publishes how many wood floors are torn out each year, so we won't guess.

Most hardwood that is sold goes into homes people already live in, too. FCNews says new construction is typically about 30% of hardwood sales.

Wood gets renewed. Damaged LVP gets replaced.

100+ years

Life of a natural wood floor (NAHB)

Up to 50 years

Life of a vinyl floor (NAHB)

6 to 8

Times most solid wood floors can be sanded (NWFA)

Wood lasts. The National Association of Home Builders' study of how long home parts last puts natural wood floors at 100 years or more, vinyl floors at up to 50 years, and carpet at 8 to 10 years (NAHB, 2007). A solid wood floor can be sanded six to eight times in its life (NWFA, 2025), and recoated many more times than that, since a recoat doesn't sand into the wood.

This isn't a knock on LVP. The big brands sell lifetime warranties. But you can't sand LVP down the way you sand wood. A damaged plank gets replaced. A wood floor gets renewed, and so can LVP whose factory wear layer is still there: a light scuff and one coat of finish.

Buyers still want wood

81%

Of buyers want hardwood on the main level (NAHB, 2024)

83%

Said the same in 2019 (NAHB)

No. 1

Floor in living and dining rooms of 2024 new homes: engineered hardwood

In the NAHB's 2024 survey of more than 3,000 home buyers, 81% said hardwood on the main level is essential or desirable. It was 83% in 2019. That's flat, not falling.

Zillow looked at nearly four million home sales from 2016 and 2017 and found listings that mentioned hardwood floors sold for about 10% more than expected, while "new carpets" showed no boost (Zillow, 2018). That is a link in the listing text, not proof that the floor added 10%.

In new homes in 2024, engineered hardwood still led in living rooms, dining rooms, halls and family rooms, with LVP second (Home Innovation Research Labs).

It's carpet that's losing

66% to 43%

Carpet's share of flooring square feet sold, 2010 to 2025 (FCNews)

$12.6B to $6.8B

Carpet sales, about 20 years ago to 2025 (FCNews)

60% to 40%

Carpet's share of new-home flooring, in the 12 years to 2015 (Home Innovation)

If any floor is dying, it's carpet. If you clean carpets for a living, you already watch it get pulled up. Sometimes there is wood under it. Nobody has counted how often, so we won't give you a number.

Where the wood is

RegionHomes built before 1980
Northeast67%
Midwest58%
West45%
South36%

No survey counts wood floors by region, so the age of the homes is the best guide there is. The table is from the Census American Community Survey (2024). Older homes are more likely to still have their original floors.

In new homes back in 2015, solid hardwood went into 52% of New England homes and 10% of Pacific homes, and it was about three times as likely in luxury homes as in starter homes (Home Innovation Research Labs). So look at older neighborhoods and nicer homes first. The demand pages by state and city show how many owner-occupied homes are near you.

What Google searches show

Google Trends, U.S., yearly average2022202320242025
hardwood flooring52454552
lvp flooring21253039
hardwood floor refinishing4.83.83.65.3

Google Trends puts searches on one 0 to 100 scale. It shows each search's share, not a count. Searches for "lvp flooring" roughly doubled. But "hardwood flooring" is still searched more, every year. The gap closed from about 3.5 to 1 to about 1.4 to 1.

Searches for "hardwood floor refinishing" in the latest 52 weeks were 25% above the first 52 weeks of the five years to October 2026. That is LVP catching up, not wood dying.

What it means for a floor business

  • A recoat works on solid hardwood, engineered, factory-prefinished and LVP floors. Laminate, sheet vinyl and painted floors are not your customer, and you walk away from them
  • Your market is the floors already down, in older neighborhoods and nicer homes. Partners put every customer on a yearly maintenance plan, so each floor is repeat work
  • A homeowner thinking about ripping out a scratched wood floor is your best conversation. A recoat runs about $1.50 to $3 a square foot. New solid hardwood runs $6 to $25 (published cost guides)
Recoat vs. sand vs. replace: cost and time

See the numbers for your area

The demand tool adds up the owner-occupied homes within 30 miles of any U.S. ZIP code, from Census counts, and works out how many wood floors come due each year with conservative math.

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